Реферат: 2000 Presidential Race Essay Research Paper Jason

UTAH

This is an unquestionable victory for Bush. He currently holds 62% of the popular vote. This state has an extremely strong record of Republican voting habits, and 63% of its citizens consider themselves Conservatives. Bush will win this state by a landslide. Five electoral votes for Bush.

VERMONT

Vermont is a state known well for liberal decisions. Therefore, it is not surprising to find Gore beating Bush 45% to 39%. There will not be much to change the outcome of this race and due to the low number of electoral votes, it can be assumed that little or no campaigning will be done in Vermont. This state belongs to Gore. Three electoral votes for Gore.

VIRGINIA

In this strong Republican state, Bush leads Gore s 40% with a 50% popular vote. The race is distanced enough that it is unlikely that much will influence it. The likely choice of Virginia will be Bush. Thirteen electoral votes for Bush.

WASHINGTON

Currently Bush leads the Washington race by 1%. However, Washington has shown very Democratic voting orientation in the past, and it would be very easy for Gore to take this victory.

But since the polling data is only one day old, it will probably be fairly accurate come Tuesday. Bush should win this state. Eleven electoral votes for Bush.

WEST VIRGINIA

The current lead in West Virginia is held by Governor Bush. Despite West Virginia s Democratic voting history, it appears that the Republican candidate has a hold on this state. This may be due to the fact that the gap between approval and disapproval ratings is much higher with Bush than it is with Gore. Bush will take this state. Five electoral votes for Bush.

WISCONSIN

Bush takes the current lead in Wisconsin with 45% to Gore s 41%. In a state known for fairly moderate votes, the race is a very close one. Even in this close race, since Bush carries the largest percentage of popular votes, he will probably maintain the lead through Tuesday. Bush will likely win this state. Eleven electoral votes for Bush.

WYOMING

Bush can count on Wyoming as another landslide victory. In this state which has been known for heavy Republican votes, people (61% call themselves conservative) will most definitely vote for Bush. There is very little, if nothing, that Gore can do to change this. Open and shut case. There is no disputing Governor Bush s victory in this state. Three electoral votes for Bush.

Conclustion

Each state s election has shown a tendency to be very, very close. However, Governor Bush seems to win many of these narrow-margin races. He gets a total of 414 electoral votes and his opponent, Al Gore, receives only 124 electoral votes. Many of the very close state-by-state elections may end up being incorrect. Based on the most recent polls available, Bush was winning, however slightly, at the time. In a race this close, the only time that it is safe to declare a winner is after the election. At this time the most likely winner of this Presidential Campaign will be Governor George W. Bush.